Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.