Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax4 - 0Sittard
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Ajax
Wednesday, April 5 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Wednesday, April 5 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, April 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 3-0 Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard's 2022-23 campaign has been very solid, but they have a terrible record against Ajax, having never won a competitive game at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. Given the disparity between the two sides in the league table, that record is unlikely to change on Sunday, and it should be a comfortable victory for Heitinga's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
78.77% ( -0.01) | 12.58% ( 0) | 8.64% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
