Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Ajax
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Sittard
  • Steven Berghuis 6' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 27' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 54' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 86' goal

Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 11.15am
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 Ajax
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 3.45pm
Sittard 3 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Burak Yilmaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 78.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 12.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Fortuna Sittard 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 23.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 56.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 43.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 37.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 62.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 95.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 80.77%
Under 1.5 19.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 61.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 38.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.87% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Ajax 78.77%
Draw 12.58%
Fortuna Sittard 8.64%
Ajax
3-0 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.23%
2-1 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.82%
4-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.63%
Total : 78.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 12.58%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 8.64%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Sittard
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Ajax
  • Paul Gladon 6' goal
  • Mats Seuntjens 27' yellowcard
  • Arianit Ferati 82' yellowcard
  • Burak Yilmaz 87' goal
  • Paul Gladon 88' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 48'
  • goal Devyne Rensch 51'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 62'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Ajax
Dec 22, 2021 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Sittard
  • Daley Blind 14' goal
  • Antony 22' goal
  • Devyne Rensch 82' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 90' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Yanick van Osch 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sittard
Sep 21, 2021 5.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT
Ajax
  • Roel Janssen 49' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Berghuis 11'
  • goal Noussair Mazraoui 27'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 38'
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 72'
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Sittard
Jan 24, 2021 11.15am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Mickael Tirpan 48' goal
  • Sebastian Polter 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Sebastian Polter 19' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 45'+2'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 64'
  • yellowcard David Neres 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Ajax
Oct 31, 2020 7.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Sittard
  • Davy Klaassen 32' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 45' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 74' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 86' goal
  • Quincy Promes 90'+5' goal
  • goal George Cox 7'
  • yellowcard Martin Angha 85'
  • goal George Cox 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
Sittard
May 10, 2020 1.30pm
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Ajax

Form Data

Feyenoord 1 - 2 Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 3 Feyenoord
Heerenveen 2 - 4 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 0 Nijmegen
De Graafschap 0 - 3 Ajax
Sittard 3 - 1 Groningen
Volendam 2 - 1 Sittard
Sittard 0 - 3 FC Twente
Utrecht 1 - 2 Sittard
Sittard 2 - 4 Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk 3 - 1 Sittard