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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
| 46.61% ( | 24.85% ( | 28.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( | 47.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( | 69.78% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( | 20.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( | 52.93% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.54% |