Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%).