Ajax
KNVB Beker | Final
Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
PSV

Ajax
1 - 1
PSV

Branthwaite (42' og.)
FT
(aet)
Hazard (67')
PSV win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

PSV Eindoven beat Ajax on penalties following a 1-1 draw to win the KNVB Beker for the 11th time in their history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%).

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
44.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)22.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.83% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 67.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)33.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)20.66% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)53.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 44.94%
    PSV Eindhoven 32.83%
    Draw 22.23%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 32.83%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
31.5%
Draw
20.7%
PSV Eindhoven
47.8%
92
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
Sangare (23')

Sanchez (7'), Rulli (52'), Berghuis (82')
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Obispo (34')
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
Final
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 18
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')