Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2023 at 11.15am UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
3 - 3
Sparta

Brenet (22'), Abels (65' og.), Cerny (67')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lauritsen (32', 42'), Sambo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
64.5% ( 0.13)	20.41% ( -0.01)	15.09% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.34% (

-0.19)

44.66% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

-0.18)

67.03% (

0.18)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

-0.02)

13.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.26% (

-0.04)

39.74% (

0.04)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.9% (

-0.27)

42.1% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.48% (

-0.24)

78.52% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 64.49%

Sparta Rotterdam 15.09%

Draw 20.41%

FC Twente	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 64.49%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.41%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.09%