Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.