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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 44%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
| 30.98% ( | 25.03% ( | 44% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( | 47.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( | 69.37% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% | 28.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% ( | 64.39% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( | 21.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( | 54.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.51% Total : 44% |