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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
30.71% ( 0.01) | 22.87% ( 0) | 46.42% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.77% ( -0.01) | 37.23% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.56% ( -0) | 59.43% ( 0.01) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% ( 0) | 23.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( 0) | 58.06% ( -0) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.53% ( -0) | 16.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.84% ( -0.01) | 46.16% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.71% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 4.48% Total : 46.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |