Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.