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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 30.71% ( | 22.87% ( | 46.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( | 37.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( | 59.43% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( | 23.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( | 58.06% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( | 16.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.84% ( | 46.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.71% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 1-4 @ 2.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0-4 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 4.48% Total : 46.42% |