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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Cambuur |
| 76.41% ( | 14.42% ( | 9.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.19% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.66% ( | 53.34% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.14% ( | 6.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.77% ( | 25.23% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.59% ( | 43.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.37% ( | 79.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 3-0 @ 9.55% ( 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 4-0 @ 6.4% ( 4-1 @ 5.34% ( 5-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 5-1 @ 2.86% ( 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 6-0 @ 1.53% ( 6-1 @ 1.28% ( 5-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 76.4% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.42% | 1-2 @ 2.78% ( 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.17% |