Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.