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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 32.78% ( | 25.08% ( | 42.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( | 46.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( | 69.01% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( | 27.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( | 62.65% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% ( | 22.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( | 55.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.14% |