Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
0 - 1
Sparta

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lauritsen (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 14.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
67.18% ( -0.02)	18.66% ( 0.01)	14.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.96% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.35% (

0.01)

38.65% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.05% (

0.02)

60.95% (

-0.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39% (

-0)

10.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.59% (

-0)

34.41%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36% (

0.03)

39.64% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68% (

0.03)

76.32% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 67.18%

Sparta Rotterdam 14.16%

Draw 18.66%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 4.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.47% Total : 67.18%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.66%	1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.16%