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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 73.49% ( | 16.8% ( | 9.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.11% ( | 41.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( | 64.29% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.09% ( | 9.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.18% ( | 32.82% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.72% ( | 49.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.84% ( | 84.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 3-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 4-0 @ 5.81% ( 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 5-0 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 6-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 73.47% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 2-2 @ 3.27% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.8% | 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.72% |