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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
32.25% ( 0.02) | 23.91% ( 0) | 43.84% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.56% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% ( -0.02) | 41.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% ( -0.02) | 63.95% ( 0.02) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% | 25.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.28% ( -0) | 59.72% ( 0) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( -0.01) | 19.2% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( -0.03) | 50.89% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |