AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Go Ahead Eagles

Excelsior
2 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Driouech (54'), Baas (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thor Willumsson (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: PSV 4-0 Excelsior
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, April 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGo Ahead Eagles
32.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.91% (0.0040000000000013 0)43.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.55% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)63.95% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)19.2% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)50.89% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 32.25%
    Go Ahead Eagles 43.84%
    Draw 23.91%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 43.84%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles

SBV Excelsior
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Go Ahead Eagles
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Go Ahead Eagles
3-1
Excelsior
Thor Willumsson (39'), Adekanye (41'), Lidberg (60')
Lamprou (72')
Ayoub (34')
May 12, 2021 7pm
Excelsior
0-1
Go Ahead Eagles

Tjoe-A-On (42'), Bruins (63'), Zwarts (65'), Damen (90'), van Rooijen (90+5')
Kuipers (82')
Bakker (71'), Eersteling (72')
Oct 31, 2020 1pm
Go Ahead Eagles
0-0
Excelsior

Idzes (62')

Wieffer (52')
Apr 18, 2020 5.30pm
Excelsior
P-P
Go Ahead Eagles
Sep 7, 2019 7.45pm
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Excelsior
Lieftink (19'), Bannink (89')
Abdat (34')
Mendes Moreira (47', 57')
van der Meer (79')