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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 37.07% ( | 24.77% ( | 38.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.44% ( | 44.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.07% ( | 66.93% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( | 23.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% ( | 57.86% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( | 23.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( | 57.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.17% |