Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.