Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.