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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
 
Feyenoord

Excelsior
0 - 2
Feyenoord

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gimenez (9', 75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, April 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-4 Feyenoord

Feyenoord have been near-perfect on the road all-season long, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a win for them. We are tipping the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
15.32% (0.383 0.38) 17.83% (0.331 0.33) 66.84% (-0.714 -0.71)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (-0.828 -0.83)31.92% (0.825 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (-0.974 -0.97)53.47% (0.971 0.97)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)33.78% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)70.44% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.13% (-0.376 -0.38)8.86% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.66% (-0.916 -0.92)30.34% (0.913 0.91)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 15.32%
    Feyenoord 66.84%
    Draw 17.83%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 3.25% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.76% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.32%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.83%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 7.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 7.1% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.67% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-4 @ 4.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-5 @ 2.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-5 @ 1.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-6 @ 0.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 66.84%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Feyenoord

SBV Excelsior
8.0%
Draw
0.0%
Feyenoord
92.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 14
Feyenoord
5-1
Excelsior
Szymanski (11', 50'), Kokcu (20', 66'), Walemark (78')
Goudmijn (4')
van Duinen (19')
Feb 3, 2019 11.15am
gameweek 20
Excelsior
2-1
Feyenoord
Messaoud (63'), Van der Meer (90')
Schouten (59'), van der Meer (93')
Van Persie (54')
Vilhena (73')
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Apr 1, 2018 3.45pm
Feyenoord
5-0
Excelsior
Boetius (4'), Toornstra (27'), Vilhena (42'), Berghuis (55'), De Wijs (76' og.)

Faes (35'), Mattheij (78')
Aug 20, 2017 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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