Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 7, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Excelsior
0 - 2
Feyenoord

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gimenez (9', 75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, April 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Feyenoord
15.32% ( 0.38)	17.83% ( 0.33)	66.84% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 60.35% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.07% (

-0.83)

31.92% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.52% (

-0.97)

53.47% (

0.97)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22% (

-0.08)

33.78% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

-0.08)

70.44% (

0.08)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.13% (

-0.38)

8.86% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.66% (

-0.92)

30.34% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 15.32%

Feyenoord 66.84%

Draw 17.83%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.32%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.83%	1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.67% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 2-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.36% Total : 66.84%