/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
-
Luuk de Jong
25'
-
Xavi Simons
82'
-
Paul Gladon
4'
PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fruud-van-nistelrooy.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.28%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 4.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.04)
6-1 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.04)
7-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
7-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 87.28%
2-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 8.48%
0-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 4.24%
Marco van Ginkel
82'