Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
2 - 1
Sittard

de Jong (25'), Simons (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gladon (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 PSV
Saturday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 2-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.28%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
87.28% ( 0.13)	8.48% ( -0.06)	4.24% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.82% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.78% (

-0.09)

21.22% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.19% (

-0.13)

39.81% (

0.14)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.87% (

3.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.02% (

0.01)

13.98% (

-0)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.43% (

-0.37)

48.57% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.35% (

-0.27)

83.65% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 87.28%

Fortuna Sittard 4.24%

Draw 8.48%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 6-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.46% Total : 87.28%	1-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 8.48%	1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 4.24%