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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 56.09% ( | 21.8% ( | 22.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( | 39.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( | 62.02% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( | 14.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.4% ( | 41.6% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( | 31.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( | 67.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 5-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 22.11% |