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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 48.4% ( | 24.56% ( | 27.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% ( | 47.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( | 69.53% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( | 19.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( | 51.54% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( | 31.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( | 67.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.39% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.04% |