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Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Groningen

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 1
Groningen

Kramer (64', 86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pepi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last Game: Feyenoord 5-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Groningen

All competitions
Last Game: Groningen 1-2 Utrecht
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RKC Waalwijk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RKC Waalwijk.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawGroningen
52.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.4% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)24.53% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.49% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.091999999999999 0.09)44.31% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.091000000000001 0.09)66.68% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.024999999999991 0.02)17.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.82% (0.044000000000004 0.04)47.18% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.91% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64% (0.093 0.09)68.35% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 52.07%
    Groningen 24.53%
    Draw 23.39%
RKC WaalwijkDrawGroningen
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.53%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen

RKC Waalwijk
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Groningen
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Groningen
2-3
RKC Waalwijk
Pepi (14' pen., 76')
te Wierik (35')
Van den Buijs (38' pen.), Biereth (61', 80')
May 1, 2022 7pm
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
Groningen
Stokkers (16', 25'), Van der Venne (39')
Strand Larsen (58')
Kasanwirjo (21')
Nov 7, 2021 11.15am
Groningen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Strand Larsen (85')
van Hintum (90')
Kramer (14')
Touba (34')
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
Groningen
Oosting (5', 15'), Sow (86')
Touba (66')
El Messaoudi (33')
Da Cruz (72'), Itakura (90')
Dec 12, 2020 3.30pm
Groningen
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
El Messaoudi (54'), Van Kaam (76')
Balk (28'), van Kaam (44')

van der Venne (58'), Anita (86')