/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
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Paul Gladon
51'
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Umaro Embalo
76'
Fortuna Sittard vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F08%2Fvitrap.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result
Fortuna Sittard
25.3%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
22.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Vitesse
51.91%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
59.42%
▼
(-0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.18%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
40.82%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
36.79%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
63.21%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 4.5
19.62%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
80.38%
▲
(+0.18)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
70.58%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 0.5
29.42%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
34.59%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
65.41%
▲
(+0.32)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
84.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
15.82%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
55.01%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
44.99%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Fortuna Sittard
25.3%
Draw
22.79%
Vitesse
51.91%
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
@
6.42%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 25.3%
1-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 25.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.5%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.79%
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.79%
Vitesse
1-2
@
9.68%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 51.91%
0-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 51.91%
