Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	Villarreal
50.37% ( -0.26)	22.18% ( 0.06)	27.46% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 63.74% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.96% (

-0.15)

36.04% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.86% (

-0.16)

58.14% (

0.16)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

-0.14)

14.63% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.26% (

-0.27)

42.74% (

0.27)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

0.06)

25.34% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

0.08)

60.12% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 50.37%

Villarreal 27.46%

Draw 22.18%

Feyenoord	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 50.37%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.18%	1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 27.46%