La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 20, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
1 - 2
Villarreal

Lopez (24')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pino (9'), Moreno (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-2 Girona
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 5-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Villarreal
34.59% ( -0.6)	24.64% ( 0.01)	40.76% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 58.72% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

-0.14)

44.28% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.34% (

-0.14)

66.66% (

0.13)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-0.41)

24.97% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

-0.57)

59.61% (

0.56)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.22)

21.74% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09% (

0.34)

54.91% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Girona 34.59%

Villarreal 40.76%

Draw 24.64%

Girona	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.59%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.76%