Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.