Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 57.9% ( | 23.9% ( | 18.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( | 53.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( | 18.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.56% ( | 49.44% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.47% ( | 43.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.27% ( | 79.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 3-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.2% |