Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
| 67.3% ( | 20.16% ( | 12.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( | 49.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( | 71.12% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( | 13.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.21% ( | 40.79% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.33% ( | 48.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.28% ( | 83.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 2-0 @ 13.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 8.75% ( 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 4-0 @ 4.36% ( 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 67.3% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 2-2 @ 3.42% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.16% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0-2 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 12.53% |