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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.33%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
| 72.33% ( | 15.95% ( | 11.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.46% ( | 31.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.98% ( | 53.02% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.4% ( | 7.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.82% ( | 27.18% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( | 38.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 4-0 @ 5.39% ( 4-1 @ 5.13% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 5-0 @ 2.78% ( 5-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 5-2 @ 1.26% ( 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 6-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.68% Total : 72.33% | 1-1 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0-0 @ 2.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.95% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0-1 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 1-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 11.71% |