Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Elche
Espanyol logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Levante logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Villarreal logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Villarreal

de Tomas (56'), Isi (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lo Celso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
34.26% (-1.388 -1.39)24.7% (0.071000000000002 0.07)41.04% (1.316 1.32)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (-0.588 -0.59)44.63% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (-0.57 -0.57)66.99% (0.56999999999999 0.57)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-1.064 -1.06)25.33% (1.063 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-1.483 -1.48)60.11% (1.484 1.48)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.38200000000001 0.38)21.75% (-0.381 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (0.582 0.58)54.94% (-0.581 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 34.26%
    Villarreal 41.04%
    Draw 24.7%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.154 0.15)
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.305 0.31)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.304 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.086 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.04%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
Villarreal
76.9%
26
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Villarreal
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Foyth (66'), Baena (90+5')
Camello (70')
Ciss (35'), Martin (52'), Lopez (87')
May 12, 2022 7pm
gameweek 36
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Villarreal
Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
gameweek 17
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Round of 16
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
Mar 17, 2019 5.30pm
gameweek 28
Villarreal
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Toko Ekambi (50', 52'), Moreno (88')
Funes Mori (44'), Ruiz (79')
Suarez (20')
Velazquez (51')