La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atletico

Jackson (9'), Pascual (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Correa (18', 56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
38.88% ( 1.49)	24.62% ( -0.05)	36.49% ( -1.44)

Both teams to score 59.09% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07% (

0.19)

43.92% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

0.19)

66.31% (

-0.19)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.85)

22.51% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

1.25)

56.07% (

-1.25)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25% (

-0.67)

23.75% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.11% (

-0.97)

57.89% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 38.88%

Atletico Madrid 36.49%

Draw 24.62%

Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.88%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.49%