La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal2 - 2Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Atletico are again expected to be missing some important players for this match, and Villarreal are likely to provide stern opposition for Simeone's side. It would not be a surprise to see the visitors grind out a narrow win, but we are expecting the points being shared on Sunday might. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
38.88% ( 1.49) | 24.62% ( -0.05) | 36.49% ( -1.44) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
