Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
58.66% ( -0.4) | 24.03% ( 0.2) | 17.3% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.61% ( -0.48) | 55.38% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.41% ( -0.39) | 76.59% ( 0.39) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.3% ( -0.33) | 18.7% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.95% ( -0.55) | 50.05% ( 0.55) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.36% ( -0.04) | 45.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.56% ( -0.03) | 81.44% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |