Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 59.99% ( | 22.65% ( | 17.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% ( | 50.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% ( | 72.04% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( | 16.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.13% ( | 45.87% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( | 42.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% ( | 78.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% ( 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 59.98% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.36% |