La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 23, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Almeria

Kubo (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 3-0 Mallorca
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Almeria
72.38% ( 0.23)	17.38% ( -0.13)	10.23% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 45.69% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01% (

0.27)

42.98% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61% (

0.27)

65.38% (

-0.27)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.52% (

0.13)

10.47% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.89% (

0.29)

34.11% (

-0.3)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.03% (

-0.02)

48.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.07% (

-0.02)

83.93% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 72.38%

Almeria 10.23%

Draw 17.38%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Almeria
2-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 72.38%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.38%	0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 10.23%