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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 23, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Almeria

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Almeria

Kubo (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eguaras (89')
Suarez Charris (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 3-0 Mallorca
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Almeria

Almeria's home form this season has been excellent, but they are a different team on the road, and Real Sociedad will fancy their chances of securing all three points here. We are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline, but Alguacil's side should have enough quality to secure the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
72.38% (0.227 0.23) 17.38% (-0.126 -0.13) 10.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.26900000000001 0.27)42.98% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.267 0.27)65.38% (-0.271 -0.27)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.128 0.13)10.47% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (0.29400000000001 0.29)34.11% (-0.297 -0.3)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)48.96% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.07% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)83.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 72.38%
    Almeria 10.23%
    Draw 17.38%
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 72.38%
1-1 @ 8.26% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.38%
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.23%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Almeria

Real Sociedad
82.9%
Draw
13.2%
Almeria
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 1pm
gameweek 16
Almeria
0-2
Real Sociedad

Babic (90+2')
Silva (47'), Sorloth (53')
Feb 13, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Real Sociedad
Verza (5' pen.), Hemed (40')
Corona (30'), Velez (46'), Bifouma (69'), Dos Santos (73'), Zongo (85')
Agirretxe (27'), Canales (48')
Rulli (3'), Granero (18'), Berchiche (82'), Ansotegi (84')
Sep 21, 2014 11am
Real Sociedad
1-2
Almeria
Castro (85')
Bergara (56')
De la Bella (30' og.), Dos Santos (51')
Zongo (23'), Dubarbier (54'), Soriana (58'), Trujillo (58'), Verza (65'), Teye (73'), Navarro (88')
Dubarbier (79')
Mar 24, 2014 9pm
Almeria
4-3
Real Sociedad
Diaz (29'), Verza (66' pen., 71' pen.), Hicham (90')
Trujillo (21'), Diaz (63'), Soriano (72'), Verza (73')
Vela (21' pen.), Agirretxe (58'), Bergara (85')
Martinez (65'), Gonzalez (70'), de La Bella (87')
Oct 27, 2013 6pm
Real Sociedad
3-0
Almeria
Griezmann (13', 50'), Angel (55')
Pardo (35')

Rodri (5'), Torsiglieri (49'), Rafita (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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