La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Almeria3 - 0Mallorca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 3-1 Almeria
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Mallorca
This is a really tough match to call, as both sides are in need of the points at this stage of the season for very different reasons. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared on Saturday in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Mallorca |
44.21% ( 0.17) | 28.24% ( 0.01) | 27.54% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
