AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | 1st Leg
Jun 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Utrecht
1 - 2
Sparta

Douvikas (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Emmen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Groningen 0-5 Sparta
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSparta Rotterdam
47.75% (0.10599999999999 0.11)24.13% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)28.12% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.114 -0.11)44.68% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.111 -0.11)67.04% (0.105 0.11)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)50.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.143 -0.14)29.32% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.175 -0.17)65.3% (0.16900000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 47.75%
    Sparta Rotterdam 28.12%
    Draw 24.13%
FC UtrechtDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Sparta

FC Utrecht
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Sparta Rotterdam
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2023 7pm
gameweek 23
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht
Jensen (74'), Boussaid (88'), Descotte (90')
Oct 23, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 11
Utrecht
3-1
Sparta
Redan (6'), Douvikas (48'), Klaiber (80')
Kitolano (84')
Jan 23, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 18
Sparta
0-3
Utrecht

Dalmau (28')
Douvikas (12'), Mahi (47'), Van de Streek (75')
Maduro (41'), van der Hoorn (48')
Aug 15, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 1
Utrecht
4-0
Sparta
Maher (1'), Van der Maarel (65'), Douvikas (74'), Gustafson (90+2' pen.)
van der Maarel (51')

Harroui (55'), van Crooy (59'), Vriends (90+1')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 33
Sparta
0-0
Utrecht

Beugelsdijk (50'), Auassar (52'), Abels (90+4')

Maher (52'), Boussaid (76')
rhs 2.0


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