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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
| 60.17% ( | 21.92% ( | 17.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( | 46.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( | 14.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.7% ( | 43.3% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( | 39.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( | 76.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.16% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.91% |