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Willem II
Cambuur
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Cambuur Stadion
FC Utrecht

Cambuur
0 - 3
Utrecht

FT(HT: 0-2)
van de Streek (37'), Douvikas (41', 64' pen.)
Booth (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-0 Cambuur
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, April 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Cambuur 1-2 FC Utrecht

Cambuur have averaged less than a goal on their turf all season, conceding two goals a game in 15 matches at the Cambuurstadion. Utrecht's proclivity to find the back of the net on their travels puts them in good stead to return to winning ways against poor opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
CambuurDrawFC Utrecht
19.88% (0.058 0.06) 20.45% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 59.67% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60.25% (-0.229 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.63% (-0.342 -0.34)36.36% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.5% (-0.376 -0.38)58.5% (0.378 0.38)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.145 -0.14)31.6% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.17 -0.17)68% (0.172 0.17)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)11.92% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.72% (-0.312 -0.31)37.27% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Cambuur 19.88%
    FC Utrecht 59.67%
    Draw 20.45%
CambuurDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 5.32% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.34% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 19.88%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.45%
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.089999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 59.67%

How you voted: Cambuur vs Utrecht

Cambuur
0.0%
Draw
7.1%
FC Utrecht
92.9%
14
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7pm
gameweek 2
Utrecht
0-0
Cambuur

Booth (14'), Brouwers (47'), van der Maarel (87')

Uldrikis (31')
Feb 5, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 19
Utrecht
3-2
Cambuur
Douvikas (33', 38'), Veerman (64')
Janssen (43'), van der Maarel (60')
Schouten (8', 12')
Maulun (21'), Uldrikis (43')
Nov 21, 2021 7pm
gameweek 12
Cambuur
2-1
Utrecht
Uldrikis (21'), Jacobs (54')
Sylla (32')
Warmerdam (47'), van der Maarel (90+2')
Jan 25, 2017 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Utrecht
2-2
Cambuur
Leeuwin (29'), Troupee (89')
Amrabat (86')
Bakker (47'), Barto (67')
van Deelen (84'), El Baad (86')
Feb 12, 2016 7pm
Cambuur
0-2
Utrecht

van Veen (14'), Byrne (19'), Vloet (44'), Lachman (73')
Van der Maarel (79'), Haller (87')
Ayoub (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
3Feyenoord16105140182235
4Ajax15103232161633
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen155192119216
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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