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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | FC Utrecht |
19.88% ( 0.06) | 20.45% ( 0.09) | 59.67% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.25% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.63% ( -0.34) | 36.36% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.5% ( -0.38) | 58.5% ( 0.38) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -0.14) | 31.6% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% ( -0.17) | 68% ( 0.17) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.08% ( -0.14) | 11.92% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.72% ( -0.31) | 37.27% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 19.88% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.45% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 59.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
3 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |