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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 38.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Cambuur |
| 38.25% ( | 23.52% ( | 38.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( | 38.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( | 60.72% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( | 20.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% ( | 52.83% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( | 20.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( | 52.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0-1 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 38.23% |