AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FC Utrecht

Ajax
3 - 1
Utrecht

Bergwijn (20'), Brobbey (68'), Klaassen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Douvikas (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Ajax
Tuesday, May 16 at 2pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
69.34% (0.547 0.55)16.88% (-0.14 -0.14)13.79% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 59.89% (-0.628 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.34% (-0.268 -0.27)30.66% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.02% (-0.323 -0.32)51.98% (0.333 0.33)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.051000000000002 0.05)8% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.116 0.12)28.21% (-0.106 -0.11)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.714 -0.71)34.9% (0.722 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.764 -0.76)71.64% (0.77200000000001 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 69.34%
    FC Utrecht 13.79%
    Draw 16.88%
AjaxDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.174 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.062 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 69.34%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 16.88%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Ajax vs Utrecht

Ajax
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
FC Utrecht
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 11.15am
gameweek 4
Utrecht
0-2
Ajax

Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
gameweek 17
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 7
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht

Gravenberch (50')
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 21
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
gameweek 8
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
rhs 2.0


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