Eredivisie Gameweek 33
Ajax
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Utrecht
  • Steven Bergwijn 20' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 68' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 90'+3' goal
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 49'

Ajax vs FC Utrecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2023 2.00pm
Groningen 2 - 3 Ajax
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 8.00pm
Utrecht 2 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Anastasios Douvikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 69.34% ▲ (+0.55)
Draw 16.88% ▼ (-0.14)
FC Utrecht 13.79% ▼ (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.89% ▼ (-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.34% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 30.66% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 3.5 48.02% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 51.98% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 4.5 28.94% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 4.5 71.06% ▲ (+0.30)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 92% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 8% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 71.8% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 28.21% ▼ (-0.11)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5 65.1% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 0.5 34.9% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 1.5 28.36% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 71.64% ▲ (+0.78)

Score analysis

Ajax 69.34%
Draw 16.88%
FC Utrecht 13.79%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.07)
5-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-96.90)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 69.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 16.88%
FC Utrecht
1-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 13.79%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Utrecht
Aug 28, 2022 11.15am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Ajax
  • Othman Boussaid 54' yellowcard
  • Bas Dost 88' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Berghuis 10'
  • yellowcard Jurrien Maduro 35'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 36'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dusan Tadic 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Utrecht
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Ajax
  • Adam Maher 20' yellowcard
  • Othman Boussaid 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Antony 5'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 19'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 65'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Ajax
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Utrecht
  • Ryan Gravenberch 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark van der Maarel 38'
  • yellowcard Maarten Paes 63'
  • yellowcard Adam Maher 67'
  • goal Django Warmerdam 77'
  • yellowcard Quinten Maduro 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Ajax
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Utrecht
  • Mohammed Kudus 53' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 70' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 87' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Gustafson 13'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Utrecht
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ajax
  • goal Davy Klaassen 62'
  • yellowcard Dusan Tadic 65'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 71'
  • goal Quincy Promes 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Utrecht
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax

Form Data

Groningen 2 - 3 Ajax
Ajax 0 - 0 AZ
Ajax 1 - 1 PSV
PSV 3 - 0 Ajax
Ajax 3 - 1 Emmen
Ajax 4 - 0 Sittard
Utrecht 2 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Cambuur 0 - 3 Utrecht
Feyenoord 3 - 1 Utrecht
Utrecht 1 - 0 FC Twente
Groningen 1 - 2 Utrecht
Utrecht 0 - 0 Volendam