Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
0 - 0
AZ

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
61.03% ( 0.03)	19.98% ( -0.01)	18.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.36% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.5% (

0.03)

35.51% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.45% (

0.03)

57.55% (

-0.03)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.71% (

0.02)

11.29% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.08% (

0.04)

35.92% (

-0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0)

31.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.42%

Score Analysis

Ajax 61.03%

AZ Alkmaar 19%

Draw 19.98%

Ajax	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 61.03%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.98%	1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 19%