AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
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PSV
Excelsior
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AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Waalwijk logo

AZ
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), van Brederode (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Anderlecht (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Wednesday, April 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
78.33% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)13.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 47.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)35.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)7.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.81% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.77%49.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)84.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.32%
    RKC Waalwijk 7.7%
    Draw 13.97%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 12.27%
3-0 @ 10.75%
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.01%
5-0 @ 3.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.7%
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.63%
6-1 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 78.32%
1-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 13.97%
0-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 7.7%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
RKC Waalwijk
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 13
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AZ
Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')
Anita (22')
Karlsson (9')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 30
AZ
1-3
RKC Waalwijk
De Wit (45+1')
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3.30pm
gameweek 1
RKC Waalwijk
1-0
AZ
Kramer (44')

Gudmundsson (75'), Sugawara (89')
May 1, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Oosting (17')
Sow (69')
Gudmundsson (28'), Boadu (63'), Stengs (82')
Letschert (69'), Sugawara (90+3')