AZ Alkmaar
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Anderlecht

AZ
2 - 0
Anderlecht

Pavlidis (5' pen., 13')
FT
(aet)
AZ win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 1-2 (5.35%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAnderlecht
59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)19.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94%13.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.94% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59%
    Anderlecht 19.91%
    Draw 21.09%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAnderlecht
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 6.72%
3-0 @ 6.12%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.42%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 59%
1-1 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 5.45%
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2%
1-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 19.91%

How you voted: AZ vs Anderlecht

AZ Alkmaar
75.9%
Draw
8.4%
Anderlecht
15.7%
83
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Anderlecht
2-0
AZ
Murillo (22'), Ashimeru (70')
Refaelov (73')

Beukema (31'), Pavlidis (42'), Reijnders (79')