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UEFA Conference League

Anderlecht
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Lotto Park
AZ Alkmaar

Anderlecht
2 - 0
AZ

Murillo (22'), Ashimeru (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Anderlecht and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-0 Westerlo
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
AnderlechtDrawAZ Alkmaar
36.51% (0.103 0.1)25.31% (-0.012 -0.01)38.18% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.65% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92% (0.063000000000002 0.06)47.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68% (0.059000000000001 0.06)69.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.087000000000003 0.09)25.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.121 0.12)59.92% (-0.119 -0.12)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.28% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)58.65% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 36.51%
    AZ Alkmaar 38.18%
    Draw 25.3%
AnderlechtDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.18%

How you voted: Anderlecht vs AZ

Anderlecht
50.4%
Draw
19.1%
AZ Alkmaar
30.4%
115