Conference League
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Michael Murillo
22'
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Majeed Ashimeru
70'
Anderlecht vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
Result
Anderlecht
36.51%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
25.31%
▼
(-0.02)
AZ Alkmaar
38.18%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
56.65%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.92%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
47.08%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
30.68%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
69.32%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
15.14%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
84.86%
▼
(-0.05)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5
74.81%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
25.19%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
40.08%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
59.92%
▼
(-0.12)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
75.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
24.28%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
41.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
58.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Anderlecht
36.51%
Draw
25.3%
AZ Alkmaar
38.18%
Anderlecht
1-0
@
8.43%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 36.51%
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 36.51%
Draw
1-1
@
11.93%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.3%
0-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.3%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
@
8.66%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 38.18%
1-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 38.18%