May 16, 2023 2.00pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT

Florian Kruger 39'
Laros Duarte 87'

Dusan Tadic 19'
Brian Brobbey 68'
Jurrien Maduro 81'

Groningen vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Groningen vs. Ajax - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Groningen vs. Ajax - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 12 May 2023 11:00

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

D
L
L
L
L
L

Eredivisie

D
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

May 7, 2023 1.30pm

Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 Groningen

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Ricardo Pepi

Ajax

All competitions

D
D
L
W
W
W

Eredivisie

D
L
W
W
D
L

Last game

May 6, 2023 8.00pm

Goals scored

85

Top scorer

Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Groningen 17.53% ▲ (+0.29)

Draw 19.22% ▲ (+0.22)

Ajax 63.24% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score:

60.23% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.63% ▼ (-0.51)

Under 2.5 34.37% ▲ (+0.51)

Over 3.5 43.72% ▼ (-0.58)

Under 3.5 56.28% ▲ (+0.58)

Over 4.5 25.2% ▼ (-0.49)

Under 4.5 74.8% ▲ (+0.49)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 67.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 32.8% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 30.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 69.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 89.62% ▼ (-0.27)

Under 0.5 10.39% ▲ (+0.27)

Over 1.5 66.09% ▼ (-0.61)

Under 1.5 33.91% ▲ (+0.61)

Score analysis

Groningen 17.53%

Draw 19.22%

Ajax 63.24%

Groningen

2-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.07)

1-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.10)

2-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)

3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 3.03%

Total : 17.53%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.13)

2-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.09)

3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.27%

Total : 19.22%

Ajax

1-2 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.04)

0-2 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.03)

0-1 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.12)

1-3 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.06)

0-3 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.06)

1-4 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.09)

2-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)

0-4 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.08)

2-4 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)

1-5 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.07)

0-5 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.06)

2-5 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 4.17%

Total : 63.24%

Head to Head

Aug 14, 2022 1.30pm

6

1

HT : 3 1

FT

Steven Bergwijn 4'
Antony 28'
Dusan Tadic 30'
Steven Bergwijn 45'
Steven Bergwijn 57'
Kenneth Taylor 66'
Steven Berghuis 88'

Cyril Ngonge 10'

Apr 2, 2022 3.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 2

FT

Jorgen Strand Larsen 20'

Davy Klaassen 45'+1'
Dusan Tadic 45'+6'
Steven Berghuis 90'+1'

Sep 25, 2021 5.45pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Edson Alvarez 40'
Antony 56'
Noussair Mazraoui 81'

Tomas Suslov 36'

Mar 7, 2021 11.15am

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Ryan Gravenberch 5'
Mohammed Kudus 48'
Sebastien Haller 54'
Dusan Tadic 77'
Davy Klaassen 83'

Mike te Wierik 72'
Ahmed El Messaoudi 84'

Oct 4, 2020 11.15am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Remco Balk 49'

Ryan Gravenberch 60'

Jan 26, 2020 1.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium (Groningen)

Kaj Sierhuis 16'
Ramon Lundqvist 52'
Ramon Lundqvist 56'
Samir Memisevic 77'

Nicolas Tagliafico 38'
Donny van de Beek 72'
Lisandro Martinez 74'
Lassina Traore 92'
Donny van de Beek 95'

Form Data

Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 Groningen

Groningen 0 - 1 Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk 2 - 1 Groningen

Groningen 1 - 2 Utrecht

Sittard 3 - 1 Groningen

Groningen 0 - 2 Heerenveen

Ajax 3 - 1 Emmen

Ajax 4 - 0 Sittard

Feyenoord 1 - 2 Ajax