Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
2 - 3
Ajax

Kruger (39'), Duarte (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tadic (19' pen.), Brobbey (68'), Maduro (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-0 AZ
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Ajax
17.53% ( 0.29)	19.22% ( 0.21)	63.24% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.63% (

-0.51)

34.37% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.72% (

-0.57)

56.28% (

0.57)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21% (

-0)

32.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

-0)

69.36% (

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.62% (

-0.27)

10.39% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.09% (

-0.61)

33.91% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Groningen 17.53%

Ajax 63.24%

Draw 19.22%

Groningen	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 17.53%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.22%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.16% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.17% Total : 63.24%