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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | NEC |
38.59% ( 0.38) | 25.78% ( 0.08) | 35.63% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( -0.4) | 49.25% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( -0.36) | 71.31% ( 0.36) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( 0.02) | 25.05% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( 0.03) | 59.72% ( -0.04) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( -0.46) | 26.71% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% ( -0.61) | 61.97% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
7 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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