AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 25, 2023 at 2pm UK
Euroborg
NEC

Groningen
0 - 1
Nijmegen

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bruijn (84' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 Groningen
Saturday, April 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-4 Vitesse
Sunday, April 16 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GroningenDrawNEC
38.59% (0.384 0.38)25.78% (0.077999999999999 0.08)35.63% (-0.468 -0.47)
Both teams to score 54.93% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (-0.398 -0.4)49.25% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.361 -0.36)71.31% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)59.72% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.462 -0.46)26.71% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (-0.612 -0.61)61.97% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 38.59%
    NEC 35.63%
    Draw 25.77%
GroningenDrawNEC
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.63%

How you voted: Groningen vs Nijmegen

Groningen
35.3%
Draw
29.4%
NEC
35.3%
34
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
gameweek 4
Nijmegen
1-1
Groningen
Cissoko (88')
Tannane (63'), Tavsan (90+2')
Duarte (75')
Suslov (58'), Kasanwirjo (63')
Mar 12, 2022 5.45pm
gameweek 23
Groningen
4-3
Nijmegen
De Leeuw (2'), Strand Larsen (22'), Postema (80', 90+1')
Strand Larsen (17'), El Hankouri (60'), Duarte (75'), Irandust (87')
Akman (13'), Schone (29'), Mattsson (32')
Meijer (27')
Elkarouani (17')
Oct 31, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 10
Nijmegen
3-0
Groningen
Akman (45+1'), Tavsan (55'), Okita (90+1')

Ngonge (70'), Dammers (81')
Apr 5, 2017 6.45pm
Groningen
2-0
Nijmegen
Mahi (30'), Bacuna (67')

Bikel (70')
Nov 5, 2016 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-1
Groningen
Kadioglu (83')
Awoniyi (59')
Van Weert (79')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!