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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Groningen |
| 54.54% ( | 23.05% ( | 22.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( | 44.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( | 16.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% ( | 46.02% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( | 34.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( | 70.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 5-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.41% |