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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
32.3% ( -1.58) | 25.87% ( 0.63) | 41.83% ( 0.95) |
Both teams to score 53.86% ( -2.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% ( -3.14) | 50.3% ( 3.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( -2.85) | 72.24% ( 2.85) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( -2.53) | 29.28% ( 2.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% ( -3.22) | 65.25% ( 3.22) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( -0.9) | 23.84% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( -1.31) | 58.01% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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