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Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
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PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Euroborg
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Groningen
0 - 5
Sparta

FT(HT: 0-1)
de Guzman (25'), Saito (58'), Verschueren (75'), Lauritsen (79'), van Crooij (89' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 6-0 Groningen
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 4-1 Cambuur
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawSparta Rotterdam
32.3% (-1.584 -1.58)25.87% (0.627 0.63)41.83% (0.955 0.95)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-2.588 -2.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (-3.137 -3.14)50.3% (3.137 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (-2.852 -2.85)72.24% (2.851 2.85)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-2.53 -2.53)29.28% (2.529 2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-3.219 -3.22)65.25% (3.22 3.22)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.904 -0.9)23.84% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-1.312 -1.31)58.01% (1.31 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 32.3%
    Sparta Rotterdam 41.82%
    Draw 25.87%
GroningenDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.483 0.48)
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.844 0.84)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 10% (0.965 0.97)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.524 0.52)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.165 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.82%

How you voted: Groningen vs Sparta

Groningen
22.2%
Draw
0.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 7
Sparta
2-1
Groningen
Mijnans (73'), Van Crooij (90' pen.)
Pepi (61')
Balker (28')
May 7, 2022 8pm
gameweek 29
Groningen
1-2
Sparta
Meijer (77')
Strand Larsen (52')
Verschueren (20'), Thy (57')
van Crooij (88'), Heylen (90+3')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 8
Sparta
1-1
Groningen
Smeets (33')
Auassar (6'), Smeets (36'), Okoye (37'), Abels (79')
Ngonge (28')
Ngonge (36'), Suslov (88')
May 2, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 31
Groningen
1-2
Sparta
Lundqvist (87')
El Hankouri (58')
Harroui (27'), Beugelsdijk (56')
Meijers (37')
Dec 19, 2020 3.30pm
gameweek 13
Sparta
2-3
Groningen
Thy (36'), Burger (80')
Pinto (71')
Dammers (16'), Strand Larsen (53', 74')