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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Twente |
| 22.63% ( | 21.84% ( | 55.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.76% ( | 39.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.43% ( | 61.57% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( | 30.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( | 66.99% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( | 14.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.34% ( | 41.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.9% ( 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 3-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 22.63% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0-3 @ 5.44% ( 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 1-4 @ 3.15% ( 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0-5 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.53% |