Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.