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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
NEC

FC Twente
4 - 0
Nijmegen

Cerny (38'), Misidjan (60'), van Wolfswinkel (77', 84')
Propper (32'), Ugalde (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tannane (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 0-3 FC Twente
Sunday, May 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-2 NEC

Twente have been strong at home and Nijmegen are tough to beat on the road, so there is little to separate the sides despite the gap in league position. The hosts have scored 15 in their last five games here, while NEC have conceded only two in their last five away games, so a close battle is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawNEC
67.48% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 18.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 13.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)62.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)35.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)77.85% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 67.47%
    NEC 13.72%
    Draw 18.8%
FC TwenteDrawNEC
2-0 @ 11.07%
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 67.47%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.8%
0-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.72%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Nijmegen

FC Twente
70.5%
Draw
25.0%
NEC
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 1
Nijmegen
0-1
FC Twente

Duelund (53')
Steijn (90+1')
Sadilek (50')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
gameweek 26
Nijmegen
0-2
FC Twente

Marquez (57')
Akman (58')
Misidjan (65'), Limnios (75')
Oct 24, 2021 11.15am
gameweek 9
FC Twente
1-2
Nijmegen
Misidjan (58')
Troupee (39'), Propper (49')
Tavsan (50'), Vet (76')
Okita (38'), Elkarouani (51'), Vet (84'), Odenthal (90+3')
Apr 26, 2019 7pm
gameweek 37
Nijmegen
4-0
FC Twente
Ndayishimiye (33'), Druijf (38', 79' pen.), Okita (41')
Dec 21, 2018 7pm
gameweek 19
FC Twente
2-0
Nijmegen
Zekhnini (30'), Oosterwijk (47')
Espinosa (65'), Schenk (74')

Okita (65')
Sabak (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30167759352455
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen301211759441547
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
12Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
13PEC Zwolle3088144058-1832
14Heracles3095164062-2232
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
RVitesse3045212268-46-1


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