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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
NEC

FC Twente
4 - 0
Nijmegen

Cerny (38'), Misidjan (60'), van Wolfswinkel (77', 84')
Propper (32'), Ugalde (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tannane (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 0-3 FC Twente
Sunday, May 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-2 NEC

Twente have been strong at home and Nijmegen are tough to beat on the road, so there is little to separate the sides despite the gap in league position. The hosts have scored 15 in their last five games here, while NEC have conceded only two in their last five away games, so a close battle is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawNEC
67.48% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 18.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 13.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)62.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)35.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)77.85% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 67.47%
    NEC 13.72%
    Draw 18.8%
FC TwenteDrawNEC
2-0 @ 11.07%
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 67.47%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.8%
0-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.72%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Nijmegen

FC Twente
Draw
NEC
FC Twente
70.5%
Draw
25.0%
NEC
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 1
Nijmegen
0-1
FC Twente

Duelund (53')
Steijn (90+1')
Sadilek (50')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
gameweek 26
Nijmegen
0-2
FC Twente

Marquez (57')
Akman (58')
Misidjan (65'), Limnios (75')
Oct 24, 2021 11.15am
gameweek 9
FC Twente
1-2
Nijmegen
Misidjan (58')
Troupee (39'), Propper (49')
Tavsan (50'), Vet (76')
Okita (38'), Elkarouani (51'), Vet (84'), Odenthal (90+3')
Apr 26, 2019 7pm
gameweek 37
Nijmegen
4-0
FC Twente
Ndayishimiye (33'), Druijf (38', 79' pen.), Okita (41')
Dec 21, 2018 7pm
gameweek 19
FC Twente
2-0
Nijmegen
Zekhnini (30'), Oosterwijk (47')
Espinosa (65'), Schenk (74')

Okita (65')
Sabak (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax27214257203767
2PSV EindhovenPSV27184578324658
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2715754839952
4Feyenoord26148457312650
5AZ AlkmaarAZ27137747311646
6FC Twente27137753391446
7Go Ahead Eagles2713594943644
8Groningen2688102534-932
9Fortuna SittardSittard2795133246-1432
10Heracles27710103548-1331
11Heerenveen2787123248-1631
12NECNijmegen2786134040030
13NAC BredaNAC Breda2786132945-1630
14PEC Zwolle2778123241-929
15Sparta RotterdamSparta27610112835-728
16Willem II2766152844-1624
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2746173456-2218
18Almere CityAlmere City2746171850-3218


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