Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Nicolaescu (24'), Bochniewicz (30'), Sahraoui (43')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kramer (60' pen.)
Felida (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 4-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
56.49% ( -0.23)	22.4% ( 0.17)	21.1% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.37% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

-0.7)

43.71% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

-0.69)

66.1% (

0.68)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

-0.31)

15.28% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.01% (

-0.59)

43.99% (

0.59)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-0.35)

34.64% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

-0.37)

71.37% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 56.49%

RKC Waalwijk 21.1%

Draw 22.4%

Heerenveen	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.49%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.1%