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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 28.04% ( | 23.73% | 48.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( | 42.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( | 65.35% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( | 28.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.74% ( | 64.26% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( | 17.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( | 48.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.93% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.04% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 4.32% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.23% |