AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Ajax

FC Twente
3 - 1
Ajax

Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tadic (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-5 FC Twente
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
39.07%23.41%37.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 63.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.0039999999999907 0)20.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 39.07%
    Ajax 37.52%
    Draw 23.41%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.44%
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 39.07%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.09%
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax

FC Twente
28.6%
Draw
21.4%
Ajax
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax

Zerrouki (29'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ugalde (90+5')
Kudus (70')
Taylor (28'), Berghuis (83'), Alvarez (87')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
gameweek 16
Ajax
0-0
FC Twente

Tadic (55')
Rensch (35')

Sampsted (13'), van Wolfswinkel (45+6'), Zerrouki (61'), Tzolis (73')
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
Aug 22, 2021 11.15am
gameweek 2
FC Twente
1-1
Ajax
Propper (86')
Menig (10')
Haller (51')
Klaassen (17'), Haller (55')
Jan 14, 2021 7pm
gameweek 16
FC Twente
1-3
Ajax
Pleguezuelo (84')
Rots (81')
Haller (7'), Huntelaar (90', 90+1')