Eredivisie | 2nd Leg

Jun 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
4 - 0
Heerenveen

(FC Twente win 6-1 on aggregate)

Vlap (11'), Propper (22'), Brenet (45'), Misidjan (68')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 FC Twente
Thursday, June 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 FC Twente
Thursday, June 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Heerenveen
60.98% ( -0.15)	20.04% ( 0.05)	18.98% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 60.12% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.2% (

-0.06)

35.8% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.12% (

-0.07)

57.88% (

0.07)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

-0.06)

11.39% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.86% (

-0.13)

36.14% (

0.13)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

0.07)

32.15% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37% (

0.08)

68.63% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 60.98%

Heerenveen 18.98%

Draw 20.04%

FC Twente	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 60.98%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.04%	1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 18.98%