Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.